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It's no secret, that Russians are dying out. Moreover, it's no secret that a person needs a ton of grain to survive. What about the Russians' food supply in the Central Federal District? If we count the food resources, which include potatoes, then we get approximately the same difference in values.
Kursk region. + 4 039 thousand people
Bryansk region. + 3 408 thousand people
Tambov region. + 3 284 thousand people
Oryol region. + 3 008 thousand people
Voronezh region. + 2 780 thousand people
Lipetsk region. + 2 584 thousand people
Tula region. +2 230 thousand people
Ryazan region. + 1 918 thousand people
Belgorod region. + 900 thousand people
Tver region. – 395 thousand people
Kostroma region. – 404 thousand people
Smolensk region. – 409 thousand people
Ivanovo region. – 725 thousand people
Vladimir region. – 735 thousand people
Kaluga region. – 768 thousand people
Yaroslavl region. – 788 thousand people
Moscow region. – 7 919 thousand people
Moscow. – 13 150 thousand people
Total. – 1 091 thousand people
Kursk is the most provided with food resources, Moscow and the Moscow region are the least. Accordingly, we should see depopulation in some areas and demographic growth in others (including due to population migration). But, firstly, the presence of excess food resources in the region does not guarantee population growth in the region, because it is only about production, not consumption. Secondly, if all food resources are consumed in the Central Federal District, then Russians will continue to die out, and at least a million more will die out in the Central Federal District. Giving birth with such introductory conditions makes no sense, because even the living have nothing to eat. Thirdly, food resources can go abroad, to another federal district or another region from the Central Federal District. In the latter case, food resources and depopulation are spread over the entire district; in the other two, the Central Federal District subsidizes some population (so that it does not die out or its demographic growth) at the cost of its own depopulation. Practice shows, that Russians from the Central Federal District do not subsidize anyone and cannot subsidize at the expense of their population, because they have their own extra 1.1 million hungry mouths, that need help themselves.
The monetary system is a way to redistribute any resources (including food). Food resources are consumed not by the one who produces them, but by the one who has money, the availability of which gives the right to consume food resources. Money can arise in the process of producing food resources (salary as the right to purchase some food resources from those produced), it can arise in some other way. Since everyone can have money, a hierarchy of property rights to food resources arises, where someone has more rights (money), and someone has less. Accordingly, there is a kind of queue, who consumes first (the richest), who is second, and who will not get it (who has no money). What about the hierarchy? To do this, we will open the gross regional product per capita and see.
Moscow (–) — 2 176 thousand rubles per year, 181.345 thousand rubles per month per capita
Moscow region (–) — 892.58 thousand rubles per year, 74 381.5 rubles per month per capita
Belgorod region (+) — 873.7 thousand rubles per year, 72.8 thousand rubles per month per capita
Voronezh region (+) — 715 thousand rubles per year, 59.6 thousand rubles per month per capita
Lipetsk region (+) — 710 thousand rubles per year, 59 thousand rubles per month per capita
Tula region (+) — 682.7 thousand rubles per year, 56.9 thousand rubles per month per capita
Kaluga region (–) — 649.6 thousand rubles per year, 54 thousand rubles per month per capita
Kostroma region (–) — 634 thousand rubles per year, 52.8 thousand rubles per month per capita
Yaroslavl region (–) — 630.1 thousand rubles per year, 52.5 thousand rubles per month per capita
Kursk region (+) — 627.3 thousand rubles per year, 52.3 thousand rubles per month per capita
Vladimir region (–) — 595.8 thousand rubles per year, 49.7 thousand rubles per month per capita
Ryazan region (+) — 572.1 thousand rubles per year, 47.7 rubles per month per capita
Smolensk region (–) — 559.4 thousand rubles per year, 46.6 thousand rubles per month per capita
Oryol region (+) — 540 thousand rubles per year, 45 thousand rubles per month per capita
Tver region (–) — 524.6 thousand rubles per year, 43.7 thousand rubles per month per capita
Tambov region (+) — 495 thousand rubles per year, 41.3 thousand rubles per month per capita
Ivanovo region (–) — 488 thousand rubles per year, 40.6 thousand rubles per month per capita
Bryansk region (+) — 480.8 thousand rubles per year, 40 thousand rubles per month per capita
The region, that generates excess food resources, have a plus. The region, that cannot feed itself, have a minus. Moscow and the Moscow region have the most money (and therefore the rights to food resources) per capita, which do not have food resources for as many as 21 million people. The least amount of money (and therefore the rights to food resources) Bryansk, which has extra food resources for as many as 3.4 million people. Some produce and others eat. Although there is no direct relationship. Moscow and the Moscow region will be the last to starve, but Belgorod, which is oversupplied for food resources, also has money. There is an apocalypse in Ivanovo, Tver, Smolensk and Vladimir, where there is neither food nor money to food. Therefore, these regions are in minus. In Bryansk, Tambov, Oryol and Ryazan there is something to eat, but there is no money to eat. These are the donor regions. In Moscow, the Moscow region, Kaluga, Kostroma and Yaroslavl, there is nothing to eat, but there is money to eat. These are parasitic regions. With food and money for food Belgorod, Voronezh, Tula, Lipetsk and Kursk.
There is a small problem with money. According to current data, the cost of living is currently somewhere around 19 thousand rubles. It's very difficult to say, how can survive on that kind of money, because it's not even poverty, it's just dying. But let's make a discount and assume, that the minimum cost of living per person is 20 thousand rubles per month, this is the level of deep poverty, but somehow can survive on this money (by a miracle, apparently). The birth of a child per capita is the same cost of money per capita, i.e. it should already be 40 thousand rubles at least per person. The birth of only one child per capita is the reproduction of the population without depopulation, but also without demographic growth. For an increase, need one and a half children per person or more (three or more children for a man and a woman), which means 50 thousand rubles per capita or more.
The second problem is that the gross regional product per capita is not a salary, it is a gross regional product, that includes depreciation, profit and income per capita. If we assume, that some part of rubles per capita is used for depreciation and profit, then it must be deducted from the gross regional product per capita so, that only income per capita remains. We don't know, what part it is, so we'll assume, that it's a corridor from ten thousand rubles per month to zero (i.e., nothing is deducted from depreciation and profit). It is also necessary to deduct 20 thousand rubles of the subsistence minimum from the per capita gross regional product, which are needed to feed the person itself. Now looking at demographics by money.
Moscow. 7.57 — 8.07 children per capita (– 13 150 thousand people)
Moscow region. 2.2 — 2.7 children per capita (– 7 919 thousand people)
Belgorod region. 2.14 — 2.64 children per capita (+ 900 thousand people)
Voronezh region. 1.48 — 1.98 children per capita (+ 2 780 thousand people)
Lipetsk region. 1.45 — 1.95 children per capita (+ 2 584 thousand people)
Tula region. 1.35 — 1.85 children per capita (+ 2 230 thousand people)
Kaluga region. 1.2 — 1.7 children per capita (– 768 thousand people)
Kostroma region. 1.14 — 1.64 children per capita (– 404 thousand people)
Yaroslavl region. 1.13 — 1.63 children per capita (– 788 thousand people)
Kursk region. 1.12 — 1.6 children per capita (+ 4 039 thousand people)
Vladimir region. 0.99 — 1.49 children per capita (– 735 thousand people)
Ryazan region. 0.89 — 1.39 children per capita (+ 1 918 thousand people)
Smolensk region. 0.83 — 1.33 children per capita (– 409 thousand people)
Oryol region. 0.75 — 1.25 children per capita (+ 3 008 thousand people)
Tver region. 0.69 — 1.19 children per capita (– 395 thousand people)
Tambov region. 0.57 — 1.07 children per capita (+ 3 284 thousand people)
Ivanovo region. 0.53 — 1.03 children per capita (– 725 thousand people)
Bryansk region. 0.5 — 1 children per capita (+ 3 408 thousand people)
What do we see? Vladimir is on the verge, Ryazan is too, and Smolensk, Oryol, Tver, Tambov, Ivanovo and Bryansk are the finish line, where there is no money even for one child (i.e. to give birth to a replacement). It's a dying out. However, it is not to say, that Voronezh, Lipetsk, Tula, Kaluga, Kostroma, Yaroslavl and Kursk are also somehow posh, because poverty (20 thousand rubles per month is poverty) will produce the same poverty (the same 20 thousand rubles per month) to replace themselves. And why breed poverty? Well, no one produces it. Well, separately, Bryansk and Tambov should be singled out, where they first dug up food resources for more than three million people, and then painfully searched for money to buy at least some of these food resources. There is a harvest for a couple of children per capita, and there is money for half a child per capita. Ivanovo is out of the question, it's a dead man with no harvest and no money.
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Population conservation is not on the modern agenda, so the feeding regions are allowed to die out, but the eating regions are allowed to survive, although it should be the other way around. But, on the other hand, 1.1 million people will die out, there will be no demographic growth, but in an industrial society the main thing is industry. What about the industry? Bread and grain for industry is energy in kilowatt*hours. The more machines, machine tools, and equipment there are, the more they consume electricity (and also require deductions from gross regional product for depreciation). Watching.
Lipetsk region (+) — 12 555 kWh
Belgorod region (+) — 10 622 kWh
Kursk region (+) — 8 014 kWh
Smolensk region* (–) — 7 323 kWh
Tula region (+) — 6 980 kWh
Yaroslavl region (–) — 6 780 kWh
Tver region* (–) — 6 628 kWh
Kaluga Region (–) — 6 613 kWh
Moscow region (–) — 6 369 kWh
Ryazan region* (+) — 5 990 kWh
Kostroma region (–) — 5 987 kWh
Voronezh Region (+) — 5 443 kWh
Vladimir region* (–) — 5 175 kWh
Oryol region* (+) — 4 048 kWh
Moscow (–) — 4 015 kWh
Tambov region* (+) — 3 909 kWh
Ivanovo region* (–) — 3 700 kWh
Bryansk region* (+) — 3 680 kWh
The regions, that can feed themselves and their neighbors, have a plus. The regions, that can't even feed themselves, have a minus. The regions, that are beyond the reproduction line of their own population (poverty and dump), have an asterisks. Everything is clear from the bottom of the standings, the capital's status allows Moscow to live, although it is the third world in terms of energy consumption and food production. Tambov, Oryol and Bryansk cannot earn bread for themselves and their descendants, because there is not enough energy, but at least they can grow this bread, others will give birth from this bread. Ivanovo and Vladimir can't even grow up, and there's no question of making money. But there are questions with the upper part of the table, because Smolensk, which is hungry and living in poverty, but has a voracious industry, somehow got stuck here. What kind of industry is this, where you can't even make money for one child? Riddle. It's the same with Tver, neither to grow to devour, nor to earn to devour, and a voracious but inefficient industry.
Lipetsk region — 12 555 kWh, 59 thousand rubles per month per capita (+ 2 584 thousand people)
Belgorod region — 10 622 kWh, 72.8 thousand rubles per month per capita (+ 900 thousand people)
Kursk region — 8 014 kWh, 52.3 thousand rubles per month per capita (+ 4 039 thousand people)
Smolensk region — 7 323 kWh, 46.6 thousand rubles per month per capita (– 409 thousand people)
Tula region — 6 980 kWh, 56.9 thousand rubles per month per capita (+ 2 230 thousand people)
Yaroslavl region — 6 780 kWh, 52.5 thousand rubles per month per capita (– 788 thousand people)
Tver region — 6 628 kWh, 43.7 thousand rubles per month per capita (– 395 thousand people)
Kaluga region — 6 613 kWh, 54 thousand rubles per month per capita (– 768 thousand people)
Moscow region — 6 369 kWh, 74 381.5 rubles per month per capita (– 7 919 thousand people)
Ryazan region — 5 990 kWh, 47.7 rubles per month per capita (+ 1 918 thousand people)
Kostroma region — 5 987 kWh, 52.8 thousand rubles per month per capita (– 404 thousand people)
Voronezh region — 5 443 kWh, 59.6 thousand rubles per month per capita (+ 2 780 thousand people)
Vladimir region — 5 175 kWh, 49.7 thousand rubles per month per capita (– 735 thousand people)
Oryol region — 4 048 kWh, 45 thousand rubles per month per capita (+ 3 008 thousand people)
Moscow — 4 015 kWh, 181.345 thousand rubles per month per capita (– 13 150 thousand people)
Tambov region — 3 909 kWh, 41.3 thousand rubles per month per capita (+ 3 284 thousand people)
Ivanovo region — 3 700 kWh, 40.6 thousand rubles per month per capita (– 725 thousand people)
Bryansk region — 3 680 kWh, 40 thousand rubles per month per capita (+ 3 408 thousand people)
In general, the Central Federal District is a land of wonders. Where some grow and others eat, where some work and others earn. There is Lipetsk, which has 2.5 million extra food resources and 12 555 kWh per capita, a super–successful and super–industrial region in physical terms, but only 59 thousand rubles per month per capita, barely enough for one child to reproduce poverty. There is Kursk, which has 4 million extra food resources and 8 014 kWh per capita, which is also a super successful region in physical terms, although the industry seems to be worse, and 52.3 thousand rubles per month per capita. Here it is, the formula, where kilowatts affect well–being. Great, but there are Tula and Voronezh, which have the same 2 230 — 2 780 thousands of extra food resources. But the consumption is in the hallway 5 443 — 6 980 kWh per capita (twice less, than in Lipetsk), and the gross regional product 56.9 — 59.6 thousand rubles per month per capita (the same as in Lipetsk). How's that? It's a miracle? No, these are not miracles yet, because there are Kostroma, Kaluga and Yaroslavl, where the population in the corridor of 400 — 800 thousand people has nothing to eat, where consumption is in the corridor 5 987 — 6 780 kWh per capita (less, than in nursing Kursk), and the gross regional product in the corridor of 52.5 — 54 thousand rubles per capita per month (more, than in nursing Kursk). These are definitely miracles. Including because the gross regional product of these poor garbage dumps is only slightly inferior to Lipetsk with its 12 555 kWh (and this is the average American level). The miracles do not end there, because there are Tver and Kaluga, which consumed the same 6.6 MWh per capita, they have nothing to eat equally (in Kaluga there are even half a million more hungry mouths), but in Kaluga 54 thousand rubles per month per capita, and in Tver 43.7 thousand rubles per month per capita. There is no need to try to find a system, pattern, etc. here, they are not there. There is a field of wonders, where some grow, others eat, some earn, others spend. And there is a feeling, that the gross regional product per capita is made up of nonsense, because it does not depend either on the level of energy consumption by industry or on the level of success in agriculture.
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The result? Russians in the Central Federal District will continue to die out, until another million die out. Further, the extinction will slow down, but there will be an aging population, which means, that in the future, extinction again. With such introductory conditions, it will be impossible to maintain influence on other districts. There is no market in the Central Federal District. Successful regions subsidize unsuccessful regions with money, grain and resources. As a result, depopulation and poverty are spreading throughout the district. There is no point in giving birth with such introductory conditions, the children have nothing to eat physically, there is not enough food, and there is nothing to buy scarce food, there is not enough money. There is also no point in working with such introductory conditions, because no matter, what crops harvest in region, no matter, what success achieve in industry, will not earn money or feed anyway. On 64.8 million hectares, overgrown with forest in some places, live only 40.2 million people, and some in their regions cannot even plow land for agriculture and grow vegetables, cucumbers and tomatoes for the whole district, since wheat does not grow. No flax, no linen clothes, 72 cows per thousand inhabitants, butter and cheese only in pictures. All consumed 228 637 million kWh, which is 5 688 kWh per capita. Gentlemen, this is some kind of garbage dump. And you're attacking countries, where the population and per capita consumption are twice as high, as yours? Well, good luck…
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